Türkiye and regional normalization: impact and sustainability

Murat Aslan, Aurora Ianni, Mattia Giampaolo, Ahmet Keser
This monitoring report has been realized in the framework of the project TÜRKIYE AND REGIONAL NORMALIZATION PROCESSES: WHAT IMPACT ON THE INTERESTS AND STRATEGIES OF ITALY AND EUROPE? which is supported by the Unit for Analysis and Policy Planning of the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation, in accordance with Article 23- bis of the Decree of the President of the Italian Republic 18/1967.

With the aim of establishing itself as ‘stabilizing power’, since 2021 Ankara has initiated some crucial normalization processes in the region with the aim of implementing ‘win-win’ diplomatic approaches and avoiding regional isolation. However, Ankara's ambition as 'regional stability provider'  must necessarily cope with changing regional dynamics, as the current Israel-Palestine war shows. Hence, the need of monitoring the developments  in order to provide detailed analyses on the sustainability and the challenges linked to the normalization processes carried out by Turkiye in the Mediterranean, Middle East, Gulf, and Caucasus between September 2023 and January 2024, as well as their impacts on the broader scale.

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